Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?
23°C 100.0%
28°C ou mais <1%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 100.0%
28°C ou mais <1%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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