Consistent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach 20°C, driven by early Meiyu (plum rain) season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling at the surface. These factors, typical for mid-June in the Yangtze River delta, suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of 20-22°C, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns and moisture advection maintaining this range. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow introducing drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 19°C or lower, though current observations and ensemble guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 14 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 14 de junho?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
$59,527 Vol.
$59,527 Vol.
14 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
$59,527 Vol.
$59,527 Vol.
14 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,861 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,808 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,350 Vol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,138 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,002 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach 20°C, driven by early Meiyu (plum rain) season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling at the surface. These factors, typical for mid-June in the Yangtze River delta, suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of 20-22°C, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns and moisture advection maintaining this range. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow introducing drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 19°C or lower, though current observations and ensemble guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$59,527Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach 20°C, driven by early Meiyu (plum rain) season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling at the surface. These factors, typical for mid-June in the Yangtze River delta, suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of 20-22°C, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns and moisture advection maintaining this range. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow introducing drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 19°C or lower, though current observations and ensemble guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,527Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consistent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach 20°C, driven by early Meiyu (plum rain) season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling at the surface. These factors, typical for mid-June in the Yangtze River delta, suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of 20-22°C, aligning with the market's 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns and moisture advection maintaining this range. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow introducing drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 19°C or lower, though current observations and ensemble guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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