AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 election, consistently registering 35-36 percent support compared with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent. This eastern German state has long shown elevated backing for the party, and recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA confirm the margin has held steady through mid-2026. The SPD–Left coalition government under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity and challenging coalition arithmetic, as smaller parties such as the Greens, FDP, and BSW poll below or near the five-percent threshold. Traders price AfD as the strong favorite to secure the largest share of seats, reflecting sustained polling trends and limited realistic paths for other parties to overtake it before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Vencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$447,885 Vol.
$447,885 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Os Verdes
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$447,885 Vol.
$447,885 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$75,817 Vol.
85%
SPD
$92,387 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Os Verdes
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 election, consistently registering 35-36 percent support compared with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent. This eastern German state has long shown elevated backing for the party, and recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA confirm the margin has held steady through mid-2026. The SPD–Left coalition government under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity and challenging coalition arithmetic, as smaller parties such as the Greens, FDP, and BSW poll below or near the five-percent threshold. Traders price AfD as the strong favorite to secure the largest share of seats, reflecting sustained polling trends and limited realistic paths for other parties to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$447,885Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 election, consistently registering 35-36 percent support compared with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent. This eastern German state has long shown elevated backing for the party, and recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA confirm the margin has held steady through mid-2026. The SPD–Left coalition government under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity and challenging coalition arithmetic, as smaller parties such as the Greens, FDP, and BSW poll below or near the five-percent threshold. Traders price AfD as the strong favorite to secure the largest share of seats, reflecting sustained polling trends and limited realistic paths for other parties to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$447,885Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 election, consistently registering 35-36 percent support compared with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent. This eastern German state has long shown elevated backing for the party, and recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA confirm the margin has held steady through mid-2026. The SPD–Left coalition government under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig faces declining popularity and challenging coalition arithmetic, as smaller parties such as the Greens, FDP, and BSW poll below or near the five-percent threshold. Traders price AfD as the strong favorite to secure the largest share of seats, reflecting sustained polling trends and limited realistic paths for other parties to overtake it before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A Linke ganhará o terceiro maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 em Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
76%
Sim
O SPD conquistará o segundo maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 em Mecklenburgo-Pomerânia Ocidental?
86%
Sim
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
49%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions