The October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals closely bunched in recent polling, alongside notable support for the Conservatives and Québec solidaire. This multi-party competition, new 127-division electoral map, and debate over issues such as trade tariffs and sovereignty have sustained interest without a clear frontrunner. Historical turnout in the 2018 and 2022 contests settled near 66 percent, and traders assign the highest probabilities to the 66-74 percent range amid expanded advance voting options and ongoing voter-list updates. The absence of a dominant incumbent dynamic or single galvanizing event has kept probabilities clustered, with separation likely to emerge from late-campaign mobilization, weather on polling day, or shifts in perceived closeness of key ridings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado66-70% 29%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 16%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<58%
11%
58-62%
15%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
29%
70-74%
26%
74%+
16%
66-70% 29%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 16%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<58%
$213 Vol.
11%
58-62%
$37 Vol.
15%
62-66%
$32 Vol.
22%
66-70%
$59 Vol.
29%
70-74%
$13 Vol.
26%
74%+
$36 Vol.
16%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals closely bunched in recent polling, alongside notable support for the Conservatives and Québec solidaire. This multi-party competition, new 127-division electoral map, and debate over issues such as trade tariffs and sovereignty have sustained interest without a clear frontrunner. Historical turnout in the 2018 and 2022 contests settled near 66 percent, and traders assign the highest probabilities to the 66-74 percent range amid expanded advance voting options and ongoing voter-list updates. The absence of a dominant incumbent dynamic or single galvanizing event has kept probabilities clustered, with separation likely to emerge from late-campaign mobilization, weather on polling day, or shifts in perceived closeness of key ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$390Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals closely bunched in recent polling, alongside notable support for the Conservatives and Québec solidaire. This multi-party competition, new 127-division electoral map, and debate over issues such as trade tariffs and sovereignty have sustained interest without a clear frontrunner. Historical turnout in the 2018 and 2022 contests settled near 66 percent, and traders assign the highest probabilities to the 66-74 percent range amid expanded advance voting options and ongoing voter-list updates. The absence of a dominant incumbent dynamic or single galvanizing event has kept probabilities clustered, with separation likely to emerge from late-campaign mobilization, weather on polling day, or shifts in perceived closeness of key ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$390Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals closely bunched in recent polling, alongside notable support for the Conservatives and Québec solidaire. This multi-party competition, new 127-division electoral map, and debate over issues such as trade tariffs and sovereignty have sustained interest without a clear frontrunner. Historical turnout in the 2018 and 2022 contests settled near 66 percent, and traders assign the highest probabilities to the 66-74 percent range amid expanded advance voting options and ongoing voter-list updates. The absence of a dominant incumbent dynamic or single galvanizing event has kept probabilities clustered, with separation likely to emerge from late-campaign mobilization, weather on polling day, or shifts in perceived closeness of key ridings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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