Putin’s extensive control over Russia’s security apparatus, including the FSB and Federal Protective Service, combined with ongoing purges and surveillance of elites, has sustained regime stability and prevented any coordinated internal challenge through August 2026. Earlier reports of tightened presidential security, elite frictions involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, and isolated military complaints (such as from veterans in June) generated speculation but produced no organized coup attempt. Declining polling trust amid war fatigue and economic pressures has prompted further repression and candidate disqualifications ahead of September elections, rather than fragmentation. Recent FSB arrests of alleged external agents underscore focus on outside threats over domestic upheaval, aligning with traders’ 93.5% assessment that no coup attempt will occur by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado7% chance
$126,199 Vol.
$126,199 Vol.
30 dez 2026
7% chance
$126,199 Vol.
$126,199 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s extensive control over Russia’s security apparatus, including the FSB and Federal Protective Service, combined with ongoing purges and surveillance of elites, has sustained regime stability and prevented any coordinated internal challenge through August 2026. Earlier reports of tightened presidential security, elite frictions involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, and isolated military complaints (such as from veterans in June) generated speculation but produced no organized coup attempt. Declining polling trust amid war fatigue and economic pressures has prompted further repression and candidate disqualifications ahead of September elections, rather than fragmentation. Recent FSB arrests of alleged external agents underscore focus on outside threats over domestic upheaval, aligning with traders’ 93.5% assessment that no coup attempt will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$126,199Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s extensive control over Russia’s security apparatus, including the FSB and Federal Protective Service, combined with ongoing purges and surveillance of elites, has sustained regime stability and prevented any coordinated internal challenge through August 2026. Earlier reports of tightened presidential security, elite frictions involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, and isolated military complaints (such as from veterans in June) generated speculation but produced no organized coup attempt. Declining polling trust amid war fatigue and economic pressures has prompted further repression and candidate disqualifications ahead of September elections, rather than fragmentation. Recent FSB arrests of alleged external agents underscore focus on outside threats over domestic upheaval, aligning with traders’ 93.5% assessment that no coup attempt will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,199Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin’s extensive control over Russia’s security apparatus, including the FSB and Federal Protective Service, combined with ongoing purges and surveillance of elites, has sustained regime stability and prevented any coordinated internal challenge through August 2026. Earlier reports of tightened presidential security, elite frictions involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, and isolated military complaints (such as from veterans in June) generated speculation but produced no organized coup attempt. Declining polling trust amid war fatigue and economic pressures has prompted further repression and candidate disqualifications ahead of September elections, rather than fragmentation. Recent FSB arrests of alleged external agents underscore focus on outside threats over domestic upheaval, aligning with traders’ 93.5% assessment that no coup attempt will occur by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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