Recent polling from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion places Moderaterna (M) support between 16.8% and 17.7% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. This range underpins the 16–18% outcome as the leading market interval. The party leads the incumbent Tidö bloc alongside the Christian Democrats and Liberals, with external support from the Sweden Democrats, yet faces sustained pressure from the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20%. The Liberals’ repeated readings below the 4% threshold further constrain the governing side’s projected seat totals. No major policy shifts, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have altered M’s standing in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with survey averages and historical patterns for an incumbent centre-right party in a polarized contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado16-18% 42%
<16% 26%
18-20% 23%
20%+ 14%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
<16%
26%
16-18%
42%
18-20%
23%
20%+
14%
16-18% 42%
<16% 26%
18-20% 23%
20%+ 14%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
<16%
$302 Vol.
26%
16-18%
$942 Vol.
42%
18-20%
$168 Vol.
23%
20%+
$341 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion places Moderaterna (M) support between 16.8% and 17.7% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. This range underpins the 16–18% outcome as the leading market interval. The party leads the incumbent Tidö bloc alongside the Christian Democrats and Liberals, with external support from the Sweden Democrats, yet faces sustained pressure from the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20%. The Liberals’ repeated readings below the 4% threshold further constrain the governing side’s projected seat totals. No major policy shifts, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have altered M’s standing in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with survey averages and historical patterns for an incumbent centre-right party in a polarized contest.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volume
$1,753Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion places Moderaterna (M) support between 16.8% and 17.7% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. This range underpins the 16–18% outcome as the leading market interval. The party leads the incumbent Tidö bloc alongside the Christian Democrats and Liberals, with external support from the Sweden Democrats, yet faces sustained pressure from the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20%. The Liberals’ repeated readings below the 4% threshold further constrain the governing side’s projected seat totals. No major policy shifts, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have altered M’s standing in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with survey averages and historical patterns for an incumbent centre-right party in a polarized contest.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,753Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion places Moderaterna (M) support between 16.8% and 17.7% in the run-up to the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election. This range underpins the 16–18% outcome as the leading market interval. The party leads the incumbent Tidö bloc alongside the Christian Democrats and Liberals, with external support from the Sweden Democrats, yet faces sustained pressure from the Social Democrats near 30–32% and Sweden Democrats near 20%. The Liberals’ repeated readings below the 4% threshold further constrain the governing side’s projected seat totals. No major policy shifts, leadership changes, or late-campaign events have altered M’s standing in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with survey averages and historical patterns for an incumbent centre-right party in a polarized contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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