Recent polling averages for Miljöpartiet place the party between 6.3% and 7.2% in surveys conducted through early August 2026, including Demoskop (6.6%), Novus (7.2%), and SCB data from May showing 6.3–6.6%. This stability just above the 4% Riksdag threshold, following 5.1% in the 2022 election, underpins trader consensus around a 5–7% outcome. Support has shown little movement amid the broader contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties ahead of the September 13 vote. The Green Party’s positioning within the red-green alliance and steady environmental-issue focus have kept its individual share within a narrow band across recent fieldwork.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 13.4%
9%+ 4.1%
<5%
13%
5-7%
53%
7-9%
35%
9%+
4%
5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 13.4%
9%+ 4.1%
<5%
13%
5-7%
53%
7-9%
35%
9%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Miljöpartiet place the party between 6.3% and 7.2% in surveys conducted through early August 2026, including Demoskop (6.6%), Novus (7.2%), and SCB data from May showing 6.3–6.6%. This stability just above the 4% Riksdag threshold, following 5.1% in the 2022 election, underpins trader consensus around a 5–7% outcome. Support has shown little movement amid the broader contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties ahead of the September 13 vote. The Green Party’s positioning within the red-green alliance and steady environmental-issue focus have kept its individual share within a narrow band across recent fieldwork.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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