Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the mid-6% range, including Demoskop's August survey at 6.6% and Novus's July results at 7.2%. These figures, stable since spring measurements around 6.3%, align with the 5-7% interval holding the highest implied probability. The party remains well above the 4% threshold for Riksdag representation while trailing Vänsterpartiet slightly in most surveys. Campaign dynamics centered on economic pressures, energy, and security have not produced sharp swings for the Greens, whose urban and younger voter base shows steady but contained backing within the broader centre-left opposition bloc. Late shifts in turnout or issue salience could still influence final results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 11.8%
9%+ 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
<5%
12%
5-7%
53%
7-9%
35%
9%+
4%
5-7% 53%
7-9% 35%
<5% 11.8%
9%+ 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
<5%
$72 Vol.
12%
5-7%
$531 Vol.
53%
7-9%
$529 Vol.
35%
9%+
$59 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the mid-6% range, including Demoskop's August survey at 6.6% and Novus's July results at 7.2%. These figures, stable since spring measurements around 6.3%, align with the 5-7% interval holding the highest implied probability. The party remains well above the 4% threshold for Riksdag representation while trailing Vänsterpartiet slightly in most surveys. Campaign dynamics centered on economic pressures, energy, and security have not produced sharp swings for the Greens, whose urban and younger voter base shows steady but contained backing within the broader centre-left opposition bloc. Late shifts in turnout or issue salience could still influence final results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$1,191Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the mid-6% range, including Demoskop's August survey at 6.6% and Novus's July results at 7.2%. These figures, stable since spring measurements around 6.3%, align with the 5-7% interval holding the highest implied probability. The party remains well above the 4% threshold for Riksdag representation while trailing Vänsterpartiet slightly in most surveys. Campaign dynamics centered on economic pressures, energy, and security have not produced sharp swings for the Greens, whose urban and younger voter base shows steady but contained backing within the broader centre-left opposition bloc. Late shifts in turnout or issue salience could still influence final results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,191Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election place Miljöpartiet support consistently in the mid-6% range, including Demoskop's August survey at 6.6% and Novus's July results at 7.2%. These figures, stable since spring measurements around 6.3%, align with the 5-7% interval holding the highest implied probability. The party remains well above the 4% threshold for Riksdag representation while trailing Vänsterpartiet slightly in most surveys. Campaign dynamics centered on economic pressures, energy, and security have not produced sharp swings for the Greens, whose urban and younger voter base shows steady but contained backing within the broader centre-left opposition bloc. Late shifts in turnout or issue salience could still influence final results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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