President Trump’s May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing produced immediate announcements on expanded U.S. exports, including a Chinese commitment to purchase 200 Boeing aircraft with potential for hundreds more, plus billions in agricultural goods, energy, and medical devices. Officials from both sides also referenced new bilateral trade and investment forums aimed at stabilizing relations amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, Iran, and rare-earth supply chains. With the visit now concluded, any further public statements by Trump before the May 22 cutoff would likely involve clarifications on these purchase commitments or procedural steps toward tariff or minerals truce extensions. Market pricing reflects trader expectations that concrete economic deliverables will dominate announcements in the narrow remaining window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$163,313 Vol.
22 mai 2026
Redução de Tarifas
15%
Canal de Segurança em IA EUA-China
6%
Libertação de Americanos Detidos
7%
Conselho de Comércio EUA-China
95%
Suspensão das Vendas de Armas para Taiwan
6%
Alívio nas Restrições de Exportação de IA
10%
Novas sanções
2%
$163,313 Vol.
Redução de Tarifas
$52,128 Vol.
15%
Canal de Segurança em IA EUA-China
$10,056 Vol.
6%
Libertação de Americanos Detidos
$5,155 Vol.
7%
Conselho de Comércio EUA-China
$19,005 Vol.
95%
Suspensão das Vendas de Armas para Taiwan
$23,808 Vol.
6%
Alívio nas Restrições de Exportação de IA
$19,413 Vol.
10%
Novas sanções
$33,750 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Trump’s May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing produced immediate announcements on expanded U.S. exports, including a Chinese commitment to purchase 200 Boeing aircraft with potential for hundreds more, plus billions in agricultural goods, energy, and medical devices. Officials from both sides also referenced new bilateral trade and investment forums aimed at stabilizing relations amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, Iran, and rare-earth supply chains. With the visit now concluded, any further public statements by Trump before the May 22 cutoff would likely involve clarifications on these purchase commitments or procedural steps toward tariff or minerals truce extensions. Market pricing reflects trader expectations that concrete economic deliverables will dominate announcements in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Volume
$163,313Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Trump’s May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing produced immediate announcements on expanded U.S. exports, including a Chinese commitment to purchase 200 Boeing aircraft with potential for hundreds more, plus billions in agricultural goods, energy, and medical devices. Officials from both sides also referenced new bilateral trade and investment forums aimed at stabilizing relations amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, Iran, and rare-earth supply chains. With the visit now concluded, any further public statements by Trump before the May 22 cutoff would likely involve clarifications on these purchase commitments or procedural steps toward tariff or minerals truce extensions. Market pricing reflects trader expectations that concrete economic deliverables will dominate announcements in the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$163,313Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing produced immediate announcements on expanded U.S. exports, including a Chinese commitment to purchase 200 Boeing aircraft with potential for hundreds more, plus billions in agricultural goods, energy, and medical devices. Officials from both sides also referenced new bilateral trade and investment forums aimed at stabilizing relations amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, Iran, and rare-earth supply chains. With the visit now concluded, any further public statements by Trump before the May 22 cutoff would likely involve clarifications on these purchase commitments or procedural steps toward tariff or minerals truce extensions. Market pricing reflects trader expectations that concrete economic deliverables will dominate announcements in the narrow remaining window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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