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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$335,859 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$335,859 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Coreia do Norte

Coreia do Norte

$30,689 Vol.

2%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$47,390 Vol.

1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$19,634 Vol.

3%

icon for Líbano

Líbano

$44,703 Vol.

6%

icon for Afeganistão

Afeganistão

$17,200 Vol.

1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$31,287 Vol.

1%

icon for Paquistão

Paquistão

$7,225 Vol.

1%

icon for Síria

Síria

$12,798 Vol.

3%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$86,428 Vol.

2%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$1,238 Vol.

1%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,516 Vol.

3%

icon for Catar

Catar

$2,244 Vol.

3%

icon for Indonésia

Indonésia

$9,068 Vol.

1%

icon for Malásia

Malásia

$22,158 Vol.

1%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$2,280 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum toward new Israeli recognitions remains limited ahead of the June 30 resolution window, with trader consensus reflecting stalled normalization talks and competing regional priorities. Saudi Arabia has shifted focus to a Saudi-French initiative promoting Palestinian state recognition, while public and official rhetoric in Riyadh has grown more critical of Israel amid regional tensions. Syria’s HTS-led authorities have signaled possible normalization by the end of 2026 but have taken no concrete steps toward an earlier announcement. Broader Arab League and OIC members continue to prioritize two-state outcomes over bilateral ties, and no major summits, bilateral visits, or policy shifts capable of producing new recognitions are scheduled in the immediate term. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities low across remaining non-recognizing states.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$335,859
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum toward new Israeli recognitions remains limited ahead of the June 30 resolution window, with trader consensus reflecting stalled normalization talks and competing regional priorities. Saudi Arabia has shifted focus to a Saudi-French initiative promoting Palestinian state recognition, while public and official rhetoric in Riyadh has grown more critical of Israel amid regional tensions. Syria’s HTS-led authorities have signaled possible normalization by the end of 2026 but have taken no concrete steps toward an earlier announcement. Broader Arab League and OIC members continue to prioritize two-state outcomes over bilateral ties, and no major summits, bilateral visits, or policy shifts capable of producing new recognitions are scheduled in the immediate term. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities low across remaining non-recognizing states.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$335,859
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 6%, followed by "Arábia Saudita" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $335.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Líbano" at just 6%, with "Arábia Saudita" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.