Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

out 31

dez 31

out 31

dez 31

Sim

9% chance

$306,921 Vol.

31 dez 2026

Sim

9% chance

$306,921 Vol.

31 dez 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Volume

$306,921

Data de Término

1 jan 2027

Mercado Aberto

Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Volume

$306,921

Data de Término

1 jan 2027

Mercado Aberto

Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Relacionado

A Somalilândia se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Sim

Um novo país vai aderir aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de outubro?

Sim

O Líbano reconhecerá Israel até 31 de dezembro?

10%

Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $306.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $306.9K traded on “Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 9¢ for "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" in the "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 9% chance that "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 9¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 91¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market has an active community of 467 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Relacionado

Frequently Asked Questions

Note on Middle East Markets

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Relacionado

Comentários (467)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What are the current odds for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

How will "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What does a price of 9¢ for "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" mean?

When does the "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What is Polymarket?