The absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the weeks leading to the June 30 deadline underpins traders' strong consensus that no new country will accede to the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any diplomatic breakthrough to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, while ongoing regional tensions in Gaza and Lebanon have stalled parallel talks with Syria and other candidates. Kazakhstan completed its accession earlier in 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, yet follow-on pledges such as Somaliland's have not advanced to formal documentation. With limited time remaining for negotiations, public announcements, and treaty signings, the market reflects the procedural and geopolitical hurdles that have slowed further expansion under the current U.S. diplomatic framework.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the weeks leading to the June 30 deadline underpins traders' strong consensus that no new country will accede to the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any diplomatic breakthrough to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, while ongoing regional tensions in Gaza and Lebanon have stalled parallel talks with Syria and other candidates. Kazakhstan completed its accession earlier in 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, yet follow-on pledges such as Somaliland's have not advanced to formal documentation. With limited time remaining for negotiations, public announcements, and treaty signings, the market reflects the procedural and geopolitical hurdles that have slowed further expansion under the current U.S. diplomatic framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,753Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the weeks leading to the June 30 deadline underpins traders' strong consensus that no new country will accede to the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any diplomatic breakthrough to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, while ongoing regional tensions in Gaza and Lebanon have stalled parallel talks with Syria and other candidates. Kazakhstan completed its accession earlier in 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, yet follow-on pledges such as Somaliland's have not advanced to formal documentation. With limited time remaining for negotiations, public announcements, and treaty signings, the market reflects the procedural and geopolitical hurdles that have slowed further expansion under the current U.S. diplomatic framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,753Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the weeks leading to the June 30 deadline underpins traders' strong consensus that no new country will accede to the Abraham Accords. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any diplomatic breakthrough to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, while ongoing regional tensions in Gaza and Lebanon have stalled parallel talks with Syria and other candidates. Kazakhstan completed its accession earlier in 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, yet follow-on pledges such as Somaliland's have not advanced to formal documentation. With limited time remaining for negotiations, public announcements, and treaty signings, the market reflects the procedural and geopolitical hurdles that have slowed further expansion under the current U.S. diplomatic framework.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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