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icon for JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?

JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?

icon for JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?

JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?

$136,600 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$136,600 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$23,872 Vol.

14%

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance led a US delegation to Islamabad in early April 2026 for initial peace talks with Iran, hosted by Pakistan amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following heightened US-Iran tensions. The visit aimed at de-escalation, including discussions on uranium enrichment moratoriums, but yielded limited progress. A planned second round set for late April was indefinitely postponed after Tehran failed to respond to US proposals, prompting a ceasefire extension and shifting focus to Washington consultations. No further trips have materialized in the three weeks since, with trader sentiment hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or escalation signals; upcoming policy deadlines on sanctions and nuclear issues could prompt renewed engagement.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136,600
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance led a US delegation to Islamabad in early April 2026 for initial peace talks with Iran, hosted by Pakistan amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following heightened US-Iran tensions. The visit aimed at de-escalation, including discussions on uranium enrichment moratoriums, but yielded limited progress. A planned second round set for late April was indefinitely postponed after Tehran failed to respond to US proposals, prompting a ceasefire extension and shifting focus to Washington consultations. No further trips have materialized in the three weeks since, with trader sentiment hinging on diplomatic breakthroughs or escalation signals; upcoming policy deadlines on sanctions and nuclear issues could prompt renewed engagement.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$136,600
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 14%, followed by "22 de abril" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?" has generated $136.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?" is "May 31" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22 de abril" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance visitará o Paquistão até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.