Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-47 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-47 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$811 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$3,119 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,930Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,930Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent. Redistricting shifted the Orange County seat toward a stronger Democratic lean, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly 10 points in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic while Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary features Min alongside multiple Republican candidates, including William Brough, Christopher Gonzales, Jenny Rae Le Roux, and Michael Maxsenti, whose fragmented field limits any single challenger's visibility and fundraising. A consolidated Republican nominee backed by strong national momentum or higher turnout in key suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district continue to anchor current probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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