Flavio Bolsonaro's official selection of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain market outcome for the Liberal Party ticket in Brazil's October presidential election. The announcement followed weeks of internal discussions within the PL and failed outreach to centrist parties for broader alliances or a female candidate to expand voter appeal. Gaspar, a federal deputy from Alagoas with a background as a prosecutor and state security secretary, provides regional balance from the northeast and continuity on public safety priorities. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects this formal commitment, though shifts remain possible if the ticket undergoes last-minute revisions before ballot finalization or if unforeseen legal or alliance developments intervene ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАльфредо Гаспар 99.8%
Маркус Понтес <1%
Рожерио Мариньо <1%
Тереза Кристина <1%
$30,200 Объем
$30,200 Объем
Альфредо Гаспар
100%
Маркус Понтес
<1%
Рожерио Мариньо
<1%
Тереза Кристина
<1%
Симоне Маркетто
<1%
Кларисса Тёрси
<1%
Даниэлла Маркес
<1%
Дамарес Алвес
<1%
Рената Абреу
<1%
Гилсон Мачадо
<1%
Мишель Болсонару
<1%
Биа Кисини
<1%
Жулия Занатта
<1%
Присцила Коста
<1%
Росана Валле
<1%
Альфредо Гаспар 99.8%
Маркус Понтес <1%
Рожерио Мариньо <1%
Тереза Кристина <1%
$30,200 Объем
$30,200 Объем
Альфредо Гаспар
100%
Маркус Понтес
<1%
Рожерио Мариньо
<1%
Тереза Кристина
<1%
Симоне Маркетто
<1%
Кларисса Тёрси
<1%
Даниэлла Маркес
<1%
Дамарес Алвес
<1%
Рената Абреу
<1%
Гилсон Мачадо
<1%
Мишель Болсонару
<1%
Биа Кисини
<1%
Жулия Занатта
<1%
Присцила Коста
<1%
Росана Валле
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro's official selection of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain market outcome for the Liberal Party ticket in Brazil's October presidential election. The announcement followed weeks of internal discussions within the PL and failed outreach to centrist parties for broader alliances or a female candidate to expand voter appeal. Gaspar, a federal deputy from Alagoas with a background as a prosecutor and state security secretary, provides regional balance from the northeast and continuity on public safety priorities. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects this formal commitment, though shifts remain possible if the ticket undergoes last-minute revisions before ballot finalization or if unforeseen legal or alliance developments intervene ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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