Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 Объем
$63,201 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 Объем
$63,201 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
71°F or below
$9,296 Объем
No
72-73°F
$7,260 Объем
No
74-75°F
$2,682 Объем
No
76-77°F
$3,107 Объем
No
78-79°F
$2,088 Объем
No
80-81°F
$3,704 Объем
No
82-83°F
$2,475 Объем
No
84-85°F
$2,543 Объем
No
86-87°F
$7,599 Объем
No
88-89°F
$13,587 Объем
No
90°F or higher
$8,861 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Объем
$63,201Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,201Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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