Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over Manila, are driving model consensus toward a daily maximum of 36°C according to Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology in the region, when seasonal solar heating and urban heat-island effects typically push temperatures to their annual peak before southwest monsoon influences arrive. Consistent surface observations from official stations show steady diurnal warming through midday, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A realistic challenge could emerge if unexpected afternoon convection develops, introducing cloud cover or localized showers that reduce peak readings by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 17 мая?
36°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
$27,934 Объем
$27,934 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
36°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
$27,934 Объем
$27,934 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLCurrent atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over Manila, are driving model consensus toward a daily maximum of 36°C according to Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology in the region, when seasonal solar heating and urban heat-island effects typically push temperatures to their annual peak before southwest monsoon influences arrive. Consistent surface observations from official stations show steady diurnal warming through midday, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A realistic challenge could emerge if unexpected afternoon convection develops, introducing cloud cover or localized showers that reduce peak readings by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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