Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
27°C 31%
28°C 25%
26°C 20.6%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$17,842 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,842 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
21%
27°C
31%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 25%
26°C 20.6%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$17,842 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,842 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$2,053 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,524 Объем
1%
25°C
$1,024 Объем
10%
26°C
$438 Объем
21%
27°C
$656 Объем
31%
28°C
$1,503 Объем
25%
29°C
$2,820 Объем
15%
30°C
$2,140 Объем
2%
31°C
$2,452 Объем
1%
32°C
$1,593 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,665 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$17,842Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,842Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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