Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors gradual daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with regional May climatology, where average highs typically range from 26–28°C, though scattered afternoon showers introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly lower. The market’s near-certain consensus on 28°C reflects these stable conditions and limited model spread, while any unexpected strengthening of convective activity or shifts in steering flow remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 мая?
28°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,293 Объем
$53,293 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,293 Объем
$53,293 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors gradual daytime warming amid partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with regional May climatology, where average highs typically range from 26–28°C, though scattered afternoon showers introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly lower. The market’s near-certain consensus on 28°C reflects these stable conditions and limited model spread, while any unexpected strengthening of convective activity or shifts in steering flow remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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