Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and triggering a June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities, international observer confirmation of an orderly process, and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored trader consensus firmly in the 40-45% range. This outcome followed Cepeda’s long polling lead as the Historic Pact nominee continuing Gustavo Petro’s platform on peace negotiations, social reforms, and rural development, before de la Espriella’s late surge on security and outsider messaging consolidated right-leaning support. The narrow first-round margin and third-place candidate endorsements have shifted attention to runoff dynamics, though any reversal of the certified tally would require successful legal challenges not currently underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.8%
35-40% 1.3%
45-50% 1.0%
<30% <1%
$31,803 Объем
$31,803 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
1%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.8%
35-40% 1.3%
45-50% 1.0%
<30% <1%
$31,803 Объем
$31,803 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<30%
$5,437 Объем
1%
30-35%
$2,208 Объем
1%
35-40%
$3,804 Объем
1%
40-45%
$9,241 Объем
99%
45-50%
$3,491 Объем
1%
50-55%
$3,190 Объем
1%
55%+
$4,432 Объем
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and triggering a June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities, international observer confirmation of an orderly process, and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored trader consensus firmly in the 40-45% range. This outcome followed Cepeda’s long polling lead as the Historic Pact nominee continuing Gustavo Petro’s platform on peace negotiations, social reforms, and rural development, before de la Espriella’s late surge on security and outsider messaging consolidated right-leaning support. The narrow first-round margin and third-place candidate endorsements have shifted attention to runoff dynamics, though any reversal of the certified tally would require successful legal challenges not currently underway.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Объем
$31,803Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and triggering a June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities, international observer confirmation of an orderly process, and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored trader consensus firmly in the 40-45% range. This outcome followed Cepeda’s long polling lead as the Historic Pact nominee continuing Gustavo Petro’s platform on peace negotiations, social reforms, and rural development, before de la Espriella’s late surge on security and outsider messaging consolidated right-leaning support. The narrow first-round margin and third-place candidate endorsements have shifted attention to runoff dynamics, though any reversal of the certified tally would require successful legal challenges not currently underway.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Объем
$31,803Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and triggering a June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities, international observer confirmation of an orderly process, and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored trader consensus firmly in the 40-45% range. This outcome followed Cepeda’s long polling lead as the Historic Pact nominee continuing Gustavo Petro’s platform on peace negotiations, social reforms, and rural development, before de la Espriella’s late surge on security and outsider messaging consolidated right-leaning support. The narrow first-round margin and third-place candidate endorsements have shifted attention to runoff dynamics, though any reversal of the certified tally would require successful legal challenges not currently underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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