Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter faces a formidable primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat with a D+17 Cook PVI rooted in New Orleans; Collins leads prediction markets for the Democratic nomination at near-certain odds, tempering trader consensus on a party hold from earlier peaks near 94% to the current 82.5%. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 party primaries last week, rescheduling U.S. House contests to fall amid litigation, introducing procedural uncertainty without altering the district's Democratic dominance. Republicans trail at 9.8% amid a weak field and no prominent challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, under the state's top-two blanket primary system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$40,778 Объем
$40,778 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
84%
Республиканская партия
10%
$40,778 Объем
$40,778 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$21,205 Объем
84%
Республиканская партия
$19,684 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter faces a formidable primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat with a D+17 Cook PVI rooted in New Orleans; Collins leads prediction markets for the Democratic nomination at near-certain odds, tempering trader consensus on a party hold from earlier peaks near 94% to the current 82.5%. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 party primaries last week, rescheduling U.S. House contests to fall amid litigation, introducing procedural uncertainty without altering the district's Democratic dominance. Republicans trail at 9.8% amid a weak field and no prominent challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, under the state's top-two blanket primary system.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$40,778Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter faces a formidable primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat with a D+17 Cook PVI rooted in New Orleans; Collins leads prediction markets for the Democratic nomination at near-certain odds, tempering trader consensus on a party hold from earlier peaks near 94% to the current 82.5%. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 party primaries last week, rescheduling U.S. House contests to fall amid litigation, introducing procedural uncertainty without altering the district's Democratic dominance. Republicans trail at 9.8% amid a weak field and no prominent challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, under the state's top-two blanket primary system.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,778Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter faces a formidable primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat with a D+17 Cook PVI rooted in New Orleans; Collins leads prediction markets for the Democratic nomination at near-certain odds, tempering trader consensus on a party hold from earlier peaks near 94% to the current 82.5%. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 party primaries last week, rescheduling U.S. House contests to fall amid litigation, introducing procedural uncertainty without altering the district's Democratic dominance. Republicans trail at 9.8% amid a weak field and no prominent challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, under the state's top-two blanket primary system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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