Louisiana's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by its D+17 partisan voter index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who secured reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces no Republican opposition as of mid-2026, with candidate filing not closing until August. This lack of competition, combined with the district's concentration of Democratic voters in the New Orleans area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unusually strong national environment for the party or a late, high-profile challenger capable of shifting turnout dynamics—outcomes viewed as low-probability given historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan analysts. The general election is scheduled for November 2026, with a potential December runoff under Louisiana's election rules.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$47,617 Объем
$47,617 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$47,617 Объем
$47,617 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$26,277 Объем
93%
Republican Party
$21,340 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by its D+17 partisan voter index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who secured reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces no Republican opposition as of mid-2026, with candidate filing not closing until August. This lack of competition, combined with the district's concentration of Democratic voters in the New Orleans area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unusually strong national environment for the party or a late, high-profile challenger capable of shifting turnout dynamics—outcomes viewed as low-probability given historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan analysts. The general election is scheduled for November 2026, with a potential December runoff under Louisiana's election rules.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$47,617Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by its D+17 partisan voter index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who secured reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces no Republican opposition as of mid-2026, with candidate filing not closing until August. This lack of competition, combined with the district's concentration of Democratic voters in the New Orleans area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unusually strong national environment for the party or a late, high-profile challenger capable of shifting turnout dynamics—outcomes viewed as low-probability given historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan analysts. The general election is scheduled for November 2026, with a potential December runoff under Louisiana's election rules.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$47,617Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by its D+17 partisan voter index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter, who secured reelection with over 60 percent in 2024, faces no Republican opposition as of mid-2026, with candidate filing not closing until August. This lack of competition, combined with the district's concentration of Democratic voters in the New Orleans area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unusually strong national environment for the party or a late, high-profile challenger capable of shifting turnout dynamics—outcomes viewed as low-probability given historical patterns and current ratings from nonpartisan analysts. The general election is scheduled for November 2026, with a potential December runoff under Louisiana's election rules.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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