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icon for Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?

Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?

icon for Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?

Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

5% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Los Angeles's June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary produced clear margins, with incumbent Karen Bass securing roughly 34 percent, Nithya Raman near 29 percent, and Spencer Pratt at about 25.5 percent after full tabulation of mail and provisional ballots. These spreads exceeded typical recount thresholds under California election law, and no candidate has filed a formal request or presented evidence of tabulation errors sufficient to justify the expense and process. Certification timelines and the absence of widespread irregularities have reinforced trader expectations that the first-round outcome will stand. A recount remains possible only if a trailing candidate petitions and funds one or if courts intervene on documented irregularities, though historical precedent shows such actions rarely succeed absent margins under a few thousand votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Объем
$3,164
Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Los Angeles's June 2, 2026 nonpartisan primary produced clear margins, with incumbent Karen Bass securing roughly 34 percent, Nithya Raman near 29 percent, and Spencer Pratt at about 25.5 percent after full tabulation of mail and provisional ballots. These spreads exceeded typical recount thresholds under California election law, and no candidate has filed a formal request or presented evidence of tabulation errors sufficient to justify the expense and process. Certification timelines and the absence of widespread irregularities have reinforced trader expectations that the first-round outcome will stand. A recount remains possible only if a trailing candidate petitions and funds one or if courts intervene on documented irregularities, though historical precedent shows such actions rarely succeed absent margins under a few thousand votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Объем
$3,164
Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Пересчет голосов в первом туре выборов мэра Лос-Анджелеса?» с 5%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 5¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 5%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?» — «Пересчет голосов в первом туре выборов мэра Лос-Анджелеса?» всего с 5%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы мэра Лос-Анджелеса: пересчет 1-го тура?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.