Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании
Победитель парламентских выборов в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании
АдГ 88%
СДПГ 13%
ХДС <1%
Зелёные <1%
$211,156 Объем
$211,156 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
88%
СДПГ
13%
ХДС
1%
Зелёные
<1%
СвДП
<1%
BSW
<1%
Левая партия
<1%
FW
<1%
АдГ 88%
СДПГ 13%
ХДС <1%
Зелёные <1%
$211,156 Объем
$211,156 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
$7,054 Объем
88%
СДПГ
$35,937 Объем
13%
ХДС
$27,794 Объем
1%
Зелёные
$52,594 Объем
<1%
СвДП
$48,058 Объем
<1%
BSW
$11,745 Объем
<1%
Левая партия
$8,260 Объем
<1%
FW
$19,714 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$211,156Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$211,156Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the winner of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, driven by the latest Infratest dimap poll for NDR released May 13 showing AfD at 36%—up 1 point—with a 9-point lead over SPD's 27%, despite the governing party's 2-point gain. CDU slumped to 10% (-3 points), falling behind Die Linke at 13%, while BSW holds 5% and Grüne 4%. AfD's sustained double-digit edge in Sonntagsfragen over the past month reflects eastern Germany's protest dynamics against the SPD-led red-red-green minority coalition, though SPD momentum and potential coalition negotiations could narrow the gap further before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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