Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФабио 79%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 17%
Эмануэль Кашо <1%
Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%
$29,109 Объем
$29,109 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Фабио
79%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
17%
Эмануэль Кашо
<1%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
<1%
Доктор Хелтон
<1%
Рикардо Маркес
<1%
Фабио 79%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 17%
Эмануэль Кашо <1%
Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%
$29,109 Объем
$29,109 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Фабио
$18,867 Объем
79%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
$6,563 Объем
17%
Эмануэль Кашо
$634 Объем
<1%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
$1,702 Объем
<1%
Доктор Хелтон
$900 Объем
<1%
Рикардо Маркес
$443 Объем
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Объем
$29,109Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$29,109Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Fábio (Mitidieri, PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race with recent polls from early to mid-September showing him at 41-48% in the first round, well ahead of main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25-37% and Ricardo Marques (PL) further back. This underpins the elevated trader consensus around Fábio, reflecting his established name recognition, coalition support, and consistent polling edge ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates including Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their low implied probabilities. Campaign activities continue with candidate agendas and interviews, though no major late shifts have altered the standings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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