Recent diplomatic setbacks have reinforced trader expectations that a comprehensive US-Iran nuclear agreement will not materialize by June 30. President Trump rejected Iran’s latest counterproposal in mid-May, describing it as unacceptable due to insufficient limits on uranium enrichment and the existing stockpile of highly enriched material. Negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, remain focused first on ceasefire terms, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, with nuclear curbs deferred amid deep disagreements over verification and enrichment rights. Ongoing US sanctions, military posture in the region, and Iranian insistence on retaining domestic enrichment capacity continue to limit near-term prospects for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЯдерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Да
$1,864,815 Объем
$1,864,815 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$1,864,815 Объем
$1,864,815 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic setbacks have reinforced trader expectations that a comprehensive US-Iran nuclear agreement will not materialize by June 30. President Trump rejected Iran’s latest counterproposal in mid-May, describing it as unacceptable due to insufficient limits on uranium enrichment and the existing stockpile of highly enriched material. Negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, remain focused first on ceasefire terms, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, with nuclear curbs deferred amid deep disagreements over verification and enrichment rights. Ongoing US sanctions, military posture in the region, and Iranian insistence on retaining domestic enrichment capacity continue to limit near-term prospects for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$1,864,815Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic setbacks have reinforced trader expectations that a comprehensive US-Iran nuclear agreement will not materialize by June 30. President Trump rejected Iran’s latest counterproposal in mid-May, describing it as unacceptable due to insufficient limits on uranium enrichment and the existing stockpile of highly enriched material. Negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, remain focused first on ceasefire terms, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, with nuclear curbs deferred amid deep disagreements over verification and enrichment rights. Ongoing US sanctions, military posture in the region, and Iranian insistence on retaining domestic enrichment capacity continue to limit near-term prospects for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$1,864,815Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic setbacks have reinforced trader expectations that a comprehensive US-Iran nuclear agreement will not materialize by June 30. President Trump rejected Iran’s latest counterproposal in mid-May, describing it as unacceptable due to insufficient limits on uranium enrichment and the existing stockpile of highly enriched material. Negotiations, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, remain focused first on ceasefire terms, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions relief, with nuclear curbs deferred amid deep disagreements over verification and enrichment rights. Ongoing US sanctions, military posture in the region, and Iranian insistence on retaining domestic enrichment capacity continue to limit near-term prospects for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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