David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor on August 11 after defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes, or under half a percentage point. Late-reporting Milwaukee absentee ballots provided his narrow edge in a contest that featured multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Crowley had suspended his campaign in July before re-entering as the establishment alternative, consolidating support behind endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other moderates concerned about Hong’s progressive platform and general-election viability against Republican Tom Tiffany. Polls had shown Hong with double-digit leads until the final days. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection in place, the market’s heavy weighting on a sub-1% Crowley margin reflects these verified results. A formal concession or certification delay could still affect exact bracket resolution if additional ballots alter the spread by a few hundred votes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКроули <1% 98.6%
Кроули 1–2% <1%
Кроули 2–3% <1%
Кроули 3–4% <1%
$106,262 Объем
$106,262 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Хонг 6%+
<1%
Хонг 5–6%
<1%
Хон 4–5%
<1%
Хонг 3–4%
<1%
Хонг 2–3%
<1%
Хонг 1–2%
<1%
Хонг <1%
<1%
Кроули <1%
99%
Кроули 1–2%
<1%
Кроули 2–3%
<1%
Кроули 3–4%
<1%
Кроули 4–5%
<1%
Краули 5–6%
<1%
Кроули 6%+
<1%
Кроули <1% 98.6%
Кроули 1–2% <1%
Кроули 2–3% <1%
Кроули 3–4% <1%
$106,262 Объем
$106,262 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Хонг 6%+
$13,198 Объем
<1%
Хонг 5–6%
$3,714 Объем
<1%
Хон 4–5%
$3,377 Объем
<1%
Хонг 3–4%
$11,011 Объем
<1%
Хонг 2–3%
$2,738 Объем
<1%
Хонг 1–2%
$8,472 Объем
<1%
Хонг <1%
$4,537 Объем
<1%
Кроули <1%
$18,969 Объем
99%
Кроули 1–2%
$11,628 Объем
<1%
Кроули 2–3%
$9,905 Объем
<1%
Кроули 3–4%
$9,013 Объем
<1%
Кроули 4–5%
$2,286 Объем
<1%
Краули 5–6%
$3,312 Объем
<1%
Кроули 6%+
$4,102 Объем
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor on August 11 after defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes, or under half a percentage point. Late-reporting Milwaukee absentee ballots provided his narrow edge in a contest that featured multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Crowley had suspended his campaign in July before re-entering as the establishment alternative, consolidating support behind endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other moderates concerned about Hong’s progressive platform and general-election viability against Republican Tom Tiffany. Polls had shown Hong with double-digit leads until the final days. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection in place, the market’s heavy weighting on a sub-1% Crowley margin reflects these verified results. A formal concession or certification delay could still affect exact bracket resolution if additional ballots alter the spread by a few hundred votes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Объем
$106,262Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor on August 11 after defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes, or under half a percentage point. Late-reporting Milwaukee absentee ballots provided his narrow edge in a contest that featured multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Crowley had suspended his campaign in July before re-entering as the establishment alternative, consolidating support behind endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other moderates concerned about Hong’s progressive platform and general-election viability against Republican Tom Tiffany. Polls had shown Hong with double-digit leads until the final days. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection in place, the market’s heavy weighting on a sub-1% Crowley margin reflects these verified results. A formal concession or certification delay could still affect exact bracket resolution if additional ballots alter the spread by a few hundred votes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$106,262Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor on August 11 after defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes, or under half a percentage point. Late-reporting Milwaukee absentee ballots provided his narrow edge in a contest that featured multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Crowley had suspended his campaign in July before re-entering as the establishment alternative, consolidating support behind endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other moderates concerned about Hong’s progressive platform and general-election viability against Republican Tom Tiffany. Polls had shown Hong with double-digit leads until the final days. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection in place, the market’s heavy weighting on a sub-1% Crowley margin reflects these verified results. A formal concession or certification delay could still affect exact bracket resolution if additional ballots alter the spread by a few hundred votes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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