Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,852 ปริมาณ
$156,852 ปริมาณ
Nov 23, 2025
PS
6%
MUNDO-GB
6%
FLING
4%
FREPASNA
4%
PT
2%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,852 ปริมาณ
$156,852 ปริมาณ
Nov 23, 2025
PS
$24,851 ปริมาณ
6%
MUNDO-GB
$22,820 ปริมาณ
6%
FLING
$12,886 ปริมาณ
4%
FREPASNA
$26,649 ปริมาณ
4%
PT
$21,794 ปริมาณ
2%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$47,851 ปริมาณ
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$156,852วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 23, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$156,852วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 23, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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