Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Chicago likely reaching a high above 78°F on May 18 due to southerly flow and a ridge of high pressure advecting warmer air into the region. This setup aligns with the 87% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from cooling influences. Mid-May climatology typically features highs near 70°F, so the current anomaly stems from recent warm-air advection that has already elevated baseline temperatures. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will determine the exact maximum, with any final model adjustments before sunset representing the primary remaining uncertainty for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
78°F or higher 85%
76-77°F 13%
74-75°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
ใหม่
$17,771 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,771 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
85%
78°F or higher 85%
76-77°F 13%
74-75°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
ใหม่
$17,771 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,771 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
$2,555 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$7,159 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$924 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,176 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$842 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$538 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$724 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$648 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$708 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$1,196 ปริมาณ
13%
78°F or higher
$1,316 ปริมาณ
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Chicago likely reaching a high above 78°F on May 18 due to southerly flow and a ridge of high pressure advecting warmer air into the region. This setup aligns with the 87% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from cooling influences. Mid-May climatology typically features highs near 70°F, so the current anomaly stems from recent warm-air advection that has already elevated baseline temperatures. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will determine the exact maximum, with any final model adjustments before sunset representing the primary remaining uncertainty for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,771วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Chicago likely reaching a high above 78°F on May 18 due to southerly flow and a ridge of high pressure advecting warmer air into the region. This setup aligns with the 87% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from cooling influences. Mid-May climatology typically features highs near 70°F, so the current anomaly stems from recent warm-air advection that has already elevated baseline temperatures. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will determine the exact maximum, with any final model adjustments before sunset representing the primary remaining uncertainty for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,771วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service show Chicago likely reaching a high above 78°F on May 18 due to southerly flow and a ridge of high pressure advecting warmer air into the region. This setup aligns with the 87% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher, as ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from cooling influences. Mid-May climatology typically features highs near 70°F, so the current anomaly stems from recent warm-air advection that has already elevated baseline temperatures. Official observations from Chicago-area stations will determine the exact maximum, with any final model adjustments before sunset representing the primary remaining uncertainty for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย