Recent forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble runs of the ECMWF and GFS models point to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. Sea-breeze onset along the coastal plain is expected to moderate afternoon peaks, while inland warming could push readings slightly higher depending on exact timing of the breeze. This narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in peak wind speed and boundary-layer mixing rather than any single dramatic shift. Historical May climatology places the long-term average high near 26–27 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing with tight probabilities on either side of 29 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 11%
32°C or higher 5.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
36%
30°C
30%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 11%
32°C or higher 5.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$880 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$445 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$276 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$183 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$343 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$587 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$449 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$597 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$1,364 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C or higher
$473 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble runs of the ECMWF and GFS models point to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. Sea-breeze onset along the coastal plain is expected to moderate afternoon peaks, while inland warming could push readings slightly higher depending on exact timing of the breeze. This narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in peak wind speed and boundary-layer mixing rather than any single dramatic shift. Historical May climatology places the long-term average high near 26–27 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing with tight probabilities on either side of 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,758วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble runs of the ECMWF and GFS models point to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. Sea-breeze onset along the coastal plain is expected to moderate afternoon peaks, while inland warming could push readings slightly higher depending on exact timing of the breeze. This narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in peak wind speed and boundary-layer mixing rather than any single dramatic shift. Historical May climatology places the long-term average high near 26–27 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing with tight probabilities on either side of 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,758วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble runs of the ECMWF and GFS models point to a daytime maximum of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow. Sea-breeze onset along the coastal plain is expected to moderate afternoon peaks, while inland warming could push readings slightly higher depending on exact timing of the breeze. This narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in peak wind speed and boundary-layer mixing rather than any single dramatic shift. Historical May climatology places the long-term average high near 26–27 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing with tight probabilities on either side of 29 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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