Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in most recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Ceará, with margins of 7–10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September, though Real Time Big Data showed a technical tie or slight Elmano edge. The gap narrowed after the start of free electoral airtime, reflecting Elmano's incumbency advantages, PT organizational strength, and Lula's scheduled campaign visits to the state. Ciro benefits from high name recognition as a former governor, a broad opposition coalition that includes PL allies, and stronger second-round simulations in several polls. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Delegado Huggo, and others remain below 2 percent, aligning with their negligible market prices. Traders appear to price in Ciro's edge in a polarized contest that could resolve in the first round or favor him in a runoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,106 Vol.
$250,106 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,106 Vol.
$250,106 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$116,544 Vol.
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$62,682 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in most recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Ceará, with margins of 7–10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September, though Real Time Big Data showed a technical tie or slight Elmano edge. The gap narrowed after the start of free electoral airtime, reflecting Elmano's incumbency advantages, PT organizational strength, and Lula's scheduled campaign visits to the state. Ciro benefits from high name recognition as a former governor, a broad opposition coalition that includes PL allies, and stronger second-round simulations in several polls. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Delegado Huggo, and others remain below 2 percent, aligning with their negligible market prices. Traders appear to price in Ciro's edge in a polarized contest that could resolve in the first round or favor him in a runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$250,106Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in most recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Ceará, with margins of 7–10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September, though Real Time Big Data showed a technical tie or slight Elmano edge. The gap narrowed after the start of free electoral airtime, reflecting Elmano's incumbency advantages, PT organizational strength, and Lula's scheduled campaign visits to the state. Ciro benefits from high name recognition as a former governor, a broad opposition coalition that includes PL allies, and stronger second-round simulations in several polls. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Delegado Huggo, and others remain below 2 percent, aligning with their negligible market prices. Traders appear to price in Ciro's edge in a polarized contest that could resolve in the first round or favor him in a runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$250,106Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds the lead in most recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Ceará, with margins of 7–10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September, though Real Time Big Data showed a technical tie or slight Elmano edge. The gap narrowed after the start of free electoral airtime, reflecting Elmano's incumbency advantages, PT organizational strength, and Lula's scheduled campaign visits to the state. Ciro benefits from high name recognition as a former governor, a broad opposition coalition that includes PL allies, and stronger second-round simulations in several polls. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Delegado Huggo, and others remain below 2 percent, aligning with their negligible market prices. Traders appear to price in Ciro's edge in a polarized contest that could resolve in the first round or favor him in a runoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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