Recent ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daytime high near 23°C in Toronto on May 17, driving the leading market-implied probability of 28 percent. This reflects gradual warming from midweek’s cooler conditions under strengthening southerly flow that enhances boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation during peak afternoon hours. Minor uncertainties around cloud cover and residual moisture could limit peaks to 22°C or allow brief excursions to 24°C, which accounts for the closely bunched probabilities across the 22–24°C range. Official high-resolution updates expected later today and tomorrow morning will further clarify these variables before resolution at Pearson International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
23°C 30%
24°C 24%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 30%
24°C 24%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daytime high near 23°C in Toronto on May 17, driving the leading market-implied probability of 28 percent. This reflects gradual warming from midweek’s cooler conditions under strengthening southerly flow that enhances boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation during peak afternoon hours. Minor uncertainties around cloud cover and residual moisture could limit peaks to 22°C or allow brief excursions to 24°C, which accounts for the closely bunched probabilities across the 22–24°C range. Official high-resolution updates expected later today and tomorrow morning will further clarify these variables before resolution at Pearson International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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