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Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 88%

Jim Schwartzel 11.9%

Jim Oberweis 1.8%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$96,951 Обс.

Catalina Lauf 88%

Jim Schwartzel 11.9%

Jim Oberweis 1.8%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$96,951 Обс.

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$45,652 Обс.

88%

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$28,787 Обс.

12%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$11,806 Обс.

2%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$4,386 Обс.

<1%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$3,912 Обс.

<1%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$2,408 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement of Catalina Lauf days before the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida's 19th congressional district has driven trader consensus toward her at 88.5% implied probability. The former Commerce Department official under Trump has secured additional backing from Representatives Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Senator Jim Banks, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC running targeted ads. Earlier August polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied near 19% with substantial undecided voters, but the late national endorsements shifted momentum. Schwartzel holds the next-highest share at 11.3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain at or below 1.3% amid the crowded field of ten candidates. The primary vote tomorrow will resolve the market.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$96,951
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement of Catalina Lauf days before the August 18, 2026, Republican primary for Florida's 19th congressional district has driven trader consensus toward her at 88.5% implied probability. The former Commerce Department official under Trump has secured additional backing from Representatives Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Senator Jim Banks, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC running targeted ads. Earlier August polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied near 19% with substantial undecided voters, but the late national endorsements shifted momentum. Schwartzel holds the next-highest share at 11.3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain at or below 1.3% amid the crowded field of ten candidates. The primary vote tomorrow will resolve the market.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$96,951
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Catalina Lauf» з 88%, далі «Jim Schwartzel» з 12%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $97K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — «Catalina Lauf» з 88%. Наступний — «Jim Schwartzel» з 12%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.