**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a sunny, hot day across Dallas with a maximum temperature most likely in the 100–101°F range, aligning with the market’s dominant 67% implied probability.** August climatology supports this positioning, as the city’s average daily high hovers near 96–101°F amid typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating. Southerly flow is expected to maintain warmth while dew points keep heat indices elevated, though any isolated afternoon thunderstorms would likely develop too late to cap the peak reading. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this guidance, with limited spread between 99–102°F outcomes reflecting the short-term stability of the pattern just 24 hours before the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 12?
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 12%
104-105°F 4%
НОВЕ
$18,601 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,601 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 12%
104-105°F 4%
НОВЕ
$18,601 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,601 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
95°F or below
$3,717 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,590 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$1,630 Обс.
12%
100-101°F
$4,641 Обс.
68%
102-103°F
$1,010 Обс.
18%
104-105°F
$484 Обс.
4%
106-107°F
$883 Обс.
<1%
108-109°F
$902 Обс.
<1%
110-111°F
$3,060 Обс.
<1%
112-113°F
$365 Обс.
<1%
114°F or higher
$360 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a sunny, hot day across Dallas with a maximum temperature most likely in the 100–101°F range, aligning with the market’s dominant 67% implied probability.**
August climatology supports this positioning, as the city’s average daily high hovers near 96–101°F amid typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating. Southerly flow is expected to maintain warmth while dew points keep heat indices elevated, though any isolated afternoon thunderstorms would likely develop too late to cap the peak reading. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this guidance, with limited spread between 99–102°F outcomes reflecting the short-term stability of the pattern just 24 hours before the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,601Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a sunny, hot day across Dallas with a maximum temperature most likely in the 100–101°F range, aligning with the market’s dominant 67% implied probability.**
August climatology supports this positioning, as the city’s average daily high hovers near 96–101°F amid typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating. Southerly flow is expected to maintain warmth while dew points keep heat indices elevated, though any isolated afternoon thunderstorms would likely develop too late to cap the peak reading. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this guidance, with limited spread between 99–102°F outcomes reflecting the short-term stability of the pattern just 24 hours before the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,601Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a sunny, hot day across Dallas with a maximum temperature most likely in the 100–101°F range, aligning with the market’s dominant 67% implied probability.** August climatology supports this positioning, as the city’s average daily high hovers near 96–101°F amid typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating. Southerly flow is expected to maintain warmth while dew points keep heat indices elevated, though any isolated afternoon thunderstorms would likely develop too late to cap the peak reading. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this guidance, with limited spread between 99–102°F outcomes reflecting the short-term stability of the pattern just 24 hours before the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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