Recent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
23°C 43%
22°C 39%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$36,431 Обс.
$36,431 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
31%
23°C
43%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 43%
22°C 39%
24°C 5.5%
25°C <1%
$36,431 Обс.
$36,431 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,596 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$7,114 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$5,298 Обс.
31%
23°C
$4,415 Обс.
43%
24°C
$3,143 Обс.
5%
25°C
$2,257 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,300 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$996 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,431Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$36,431Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent forecast models from Spain’s meteorological agency indicate peak temperatures in Madrid settling near 22–23°C today under stable spring high-pressure conditions typical for central Iberia in mid-May. This narrow range stems from moderate daytime heating, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with historical May averages around 21–24°C at the Madrid-Barajas station. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because short-range numerical weather prediction runs show limited variability, with only small adjustments possible from afternoon observations. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded before midnight, underscoring how real-time AEMET data directly shapes market-implied probabilities in this low-uncertainty temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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