Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 23–24 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across the central plateau. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when historical averages reach 22–24 °C and extremes above 27 °C remain rare without a pronounced heat plume from North Africa. Short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and little risk of cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the peak, supporting the market’s concentration on the 23–25 °C range. Traders will watch the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET bulletins for any late adjustments in the thermal ridge strength.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
24°C 35%
23°C 28%
25°C 19%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 28%
25°C 19%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$240 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$104 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$307 Обс.
1%
21°C
$79 Обс.
4%
22°C
$65 Обс.
8%
23°C
$276 Обс.
28%
24°C
$34 Обс.
35%
25°C
$19 Обс.
19%
26°C
$61 Обс.
7%
27°C
$63 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$198 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 23–24 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across the central plateau. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when historical averages reach 22–24 °C and extremes above 27 °C remain rare without a pronounced heat plume from North Africa. Short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and little risk of cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the peak, supporting the market’s concentration on the 23–25 °C range. Traders will watch the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET bulletins for any late adjustments in the thermal ridge strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,438Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 23–24 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across the central plateau. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when historical averages reach 22–24 °C and extremes above 27 °C remain rare without a pronounced heat plume from North Africa. Short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and little risk of cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the peak, supporting the market’s concentration on the 23–25 °C range. Traders will watch the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET bulletins for any late adjustments in the thermal ridge strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,438Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 23–24 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across the central plateau. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when historical averages reach 22–24 °C and extremes above 27 °C remain rare without a pronounced heat plume from North Africa. Short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and little risk of cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the peak, supporting the market’s concentration on the 23–25 °C range. Traders will watch the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official AEMET bulletins for any late adjustments in the thermal ridge strength.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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