Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 28%
33°C 7.8%
32°C <1%
$33,630 Обс.
$33,630 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
67%
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 28%
33°C 7.8%
32°C <1%
$33,630 Обс.
$33,630 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$9,443 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,844 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,573 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,247 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,591 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,123 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,797 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,687 Обс.
1%
33°C
$2,492 Обс.
8%
34°C
$2,137 Обс.
28%
35°C or higher
$3,835 Обс.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,630Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$33,630Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання