Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 Обс.
$59,520 Обс.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 Обс.
$59,520 Обс.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
$1,051 Обс.
No
9°C
$1,759 Обс.
No
10°C
$3,936 Обс.
No
11°C
$5,379 Обс.
No
12°C
$6,334 Обс.
No
13°C
$10,447 Обс.
No
14°C
$9,038 Обс.
Yes
15°C
$10,460 Обс.
No
16°C
$5,764 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,361 Обс.
No
18°C or higher
$2,989 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,520Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$59,520Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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