Recent May UK CPI data held steady at 2.8%, below expectations, with moderation in food, housing, and core components offset by transport-driven fuel price gains. Traders price June annual inflation in a tight contest between the 2.2-2.4% and 2.5-2.7% buckets at 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy cost pressures from Middle East supply risks and elevated motor fuel prices will lift the print or if continued disinflation in services and goods will keep it anchored near recent lows. The balanced odds highlight sensitivity to June-specific monthly changes amid Bank of England guidance on persistent above-target risks through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune Inflation UK - Annual
≤2.1% 99%
3.4%+ 99%
2.8-3% 98%
3.1-3.3% 98%
≤2.1%
99%
2.2-2.4%
50%
2.5-2.7%
50%
2.8-3%
98%
3.1-3.3%
98%
3.4%+
99%
≤2.1% 99%
3.4%+ 99%
2.8-3% 98%
3.1-3.3% 98%
≤2.1%
99%
2.2-2.4%
50%
2.5-2.7%
50%
2.8-3%
98%
3.1-3.3%
98%
3.4%+
99%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May UK CPI data held steady at 2.8%, below expectations, with moderation in food, housing, and core components offset by transport-driven fuel price gains. Traders price June annual inflation in a tight contest between the 2.2-2.4% and 2.5-2.7% buckets at 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy cost pressures from Middle East supply risks and elevated motor fuel prices will lift the print or if continued disinflation in services and goods will keep it anchored near recent lows. The balanced odds highlight sensitivity to June-specific monthly changes amid Bank of England guidance on persistent above-target risks through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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