**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 78-79°F and 76-77°F ranges as the dominant outcomes.** These probabilities reflect the strong climatological baseline for mid-June in subtropical South Florida, where typical nocturnal lows at Miami International Airport (KMIA) fall in the mid-to-upper 70s amid high humidity and the onset of the rainy season. Long-range and short-term forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projected overnight lows between roughly 77°F and 82°F for the period, consistent with the 1991–2020 normals of ~76°F and the absence of any cool-air intrusions or atypical steering patterns. June's characteristic afternoon thunderstorms and southeasterly flow further support minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated. The market's heavy weighting toward these two bins—rather than cooler or significantly warmer ones—captures the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and historical analogs, with traders incorporating the latest model consensus ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
78-79°F 62%
76-77°F 19.7%
74-75°F 1.7%
72-73°F 1.0%
$11,937 Обс.
$11,937 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
71%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 62%
76-77°F 19.7%
74-75°F 1.7%
72-73°F 1.0%
$11,937 Обс.
$11,937 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
71%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 78-79°F and 76-77°F ranges as the dominant outcomes.** These probabilities reflect the strong climatological baseline for mid-June in subtropical South Florida, where typical nocturnal lows at Miami International Airport (KMIA) fall in the mid-to-upper 70s amid high humidity and the onset of the rainy season. Long-range and short-term forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projected overnight lows between roughly 77°F and 82°F for the period, consistent with the 1991–2020 normals of ~76°F and the absence of any cool-air intrusions or atypical steering patterns. June's characteristic afternoon thunderstorms and southeasterly flow further support minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated. The market's heavy weighting toward these two bins—rather than cooler or significantly warmer ones—captures the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and historical analogs, with traders incorporating the latest model consensus ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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