Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum near 21–23°C for Milan on September 4 under clear skies and light winds, supporting trader focus on the narrow 17–19°C band. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by low-level humidity around 50–70% and minimal cloud cover, create the primary uncertainty differentiating these closely matched outcomes. Urban heat island effects and station-specific siting further influence exact readings at official monitors. With probabilities clustered tightly and higher temperatures at negligible odds, markets reflect genuine model spread and potential for slight revisions in the final hours before the daily low is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 4?
18°C 49%
16°C 49%
15°C 46.6%
17°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
47%
16°C
49%
17°C
45%
18°C
49%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
16°C 49%
15°C 46.6%
17°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$17 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$0 Обс.
47%
16°C
$0 Обс.
49%
17°C
$10 Обс.
45%
18°C
$0 Обс.
49%
19°C
$143 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$78 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$107 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$589 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$318 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum near 21–23°C for Milan on September 4 under clear skies and light winds, supporting trader focus on the narrow 17–19°C band. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by low-level humidity around 50–70% and minimal cloud cover, create the primary uncertainty differentiating these closely matched outcomes. Urban heat island effects and station-specific siting further influence exact readings at official monitors. With probabilities clustered tightly and higher temperatures at negligible odds, markets reflect genuine model spread and potential for slight revisions in the final hours before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,297Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum near 21–23°C for Milan on September 4 under clear skies and light winds, supporting trader focus on the narrow 17–19°C band. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by low-level humidity around 50–70% and minimal cloud cover, create the primary uncertainty differentiating these closely matched outcomes. Urban heat island effects and station-specific siting further influence exact readings at official monitors. With probabilities clustered tightly and higher temperatures at negligible odds, markets reflect genuine model spread and potential for slight revisions in the final hours before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,297Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum near 21–23°C for Milan on September 4 under clear skies and light winds, supporting trader focus on the narrow 17–19°C band. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by low-level humidity around 50–70% and minimal cloud cover, create the primary uncertainty differentiating these closely matched outcomes. Urban heat island effects and station-specific siting further influence exact readings at official monitors. With probabilities clustered tightly and higher temperatures at negligible odds, markets reflect genuine model spread and potential for slight revisions in the final hours before the daily low is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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