**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Обс.
$12,364 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Обс.
$12,364 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
$657 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$957 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Обс.
1%
12°C
$1,380 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Обс.
100%
14°C
$789 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$852 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$747 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$916 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,364Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,364Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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