Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
18°C 38%
14°C or below 7%
15°C 7%
16°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
38%
19°C
61%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
14°C or below 7%
15°C 7%
16°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Обс.
7%
15°C
$12 Обс.
7%
16°C
$0 Обс.
4%
17°C
$126 Обс.
3%
18°C
$125 Обс.
38%
19°C
$3,835 Обс.
61%
20°C
$792 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$35 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,037Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,037Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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