Genta Koja holds an 89.1% implied probability in the Okinawa gubernatorial election market due to consolidated backing from the Liberal Democratic Party, Japan Innovation Party, Democratic Party for the People, and other conservative groups, plus explicit support from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. His acceptance of the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma aligned with central government priorities, while voter surveys highlighted economy, employment, and prices as top concerns over base issues. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with opposition party and All Okinawa coalition support focused on blocking the relocation, sits at 0.1%. The remaining candidates trail as longshots after a late-August campaign launch that featured limited polling movement until exit-poll indications on voting day.