The Pennsylvania 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in suburban Philadelphia areas like Delaware County, underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon faces limited opposition from Republican Nick Manganaro ahead of the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on past results, fundraising edges, and voter registration patterns. Recent primary outcomes reinforced continuity without notable disruptions. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities, though such developments would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and historical margins to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$31,721 Обс.
$31,721 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$31,721 Обс.
$31,721 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,583 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$22,138 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Pennsylvania 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in suburban Philadelphia areas like Delaware County, underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon faces limited opposition from Republican Nick Manganaro ahead of the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on past results, fundraising edges, and voter registration patterns. Recent primary outcomes reinforced continuity without notable disruptions. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities, though such developments would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and historical margins to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Pennsylvania 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in suburban Philadelphia areas like Delaware County, underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon faces limited opposition from Republican Nick Manganaro ahead of the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on past results, fundraising edges, and voter registration patterns. Recent primary outcomes reinforced continuity without notable disruptions. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities, though such developments would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and historical margins to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Pennsylvania 5th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in suburban Philadelphia areas like Delaware County, underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon faces limited opposition from Republican Nick Manganaro ahead of the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on past results, fundraising edges, and voter registration patterns. Recent primary outcomes reinforced continuity without notable disruptions. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities, though such developments would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and historical margins to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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