The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29 underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 announcement. Governor Tiff Macklem described the current stance as broadly appropriate amid moderate GDP growth near 1.5–1.9% and inflation pressures from elevated energy prices that are expected to prove transitory before returning to the 2% target in 2027. Recent data show the economy absorbing U.S. tariff effects and Middle East supply disruptions without triggering sustained price pressures or labor-market deterioration, with unemployment holding near 6.7% and core measures easing. Traders are pricing stability because forward-looking indicators point to limited near-term adjustments. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or resilient domestic demand could lift hike odds, while a pronounced growth slowdown might reopen cut discussions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.2%
Increase 2.4%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,779 KL.
$26,779 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
2%
No change 96.2%
Increase 2.4%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,779 KL.
$26,779 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$4,634 KL.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$4,413 KL.
1%
No change
$9,722 KL.
96%
Increase
$8,011 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29 underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 announcement. Governor Tiff Macklem described the current stance as broadly appropriate amid moderate GDP growth near 1.5–1.9% and inflation pressures from elevated energy prices that are expected to prove transitory before returning to the 2% target in 2027. Recent data show the economy absorbing U.S. tariff effects and Middle East supply disruptions without triggering sustained price pressures or labor-market deterioration, with unemployment holding near 6.7% and core measures easing. Traders are pricing stability because forward-looking indicators point to limited near-term adjustments. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or resilient domestic demand could lift hike odds, while a pronounced growth slowdown might reopen cut discussions.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,779Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29 underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 announcement. Governor Tiff Macklem described the current stance as broadly appropriate amid moderate GDP growth near 1.5–1.9% and inflation pressures from elevated energy prices that are expected to prove transitory before returning to the 2% target in 2027. Recent data show the economy absorbing U.S. tariff effects and Middle East supply disruptions without triggering sustained price pressures or labor-market deterioration, with unemployment holding near 6.7% and core measures easing. Traders are pricing stability because forward-looking indicators point to limited near-term adjustments. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or resilient domestic demand could lift hike odds, while a pronounced growth slowdown might reopen cut discussions.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$26,779Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29 underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability of no change at the June 10 announcement. Governor Tiff Macklem described the current stance as broadly appropriate amid moderate GDP growth near 1.5–1.9% and inflation pressures from elevated energy prices that are expected to prove transitory before returning to the 2% target in 2027. Recent data show the economy absorbing U.S. tariff effects and Middle East supply disruptions without triggering sustained price pressures or labor-market deterioration, with unemployment holding near 6.7% and core measures easing. Traders are pricing stability because forward-looking indicators point to limited near-term adjustments. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or resilient domestic demand could lift hike odds, while a pronounced growth slowdown might reopen cut discussions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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