Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 96.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28, 2026, monetary policy meeting, holding steady at the current 2.50% level following seven consecutive pauses, most recently in April. This positioning persists despite April CPI inflation accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its highest in 21 months—and senior deputy governor remarks on May 3 signaling a hawkish shift in forward guidance, with May inflation projected even higher amid oil price pressures. The wisdom of crowds reflects BoK's data-dependent stance and alignment with the Federal Reserve's recent pause, prioritizing gradualism over immediate action. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected May CPI print or robust GDP data prompting a hike, though decrease odds remain negligible at 0.4%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 96.8%
Increase 1.6%
Decrease <1%
$96,946 KL.
$96,946 KL.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
2%
No Change 96.8%
Increase 1.6%
Decrease <1%
$96,946 KL.
$96,946 KL.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 96.8% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28, 2026, monetary policy meeting, holding steady at the current 2.50% level following seven consecutive pauses, most recently in April. This positioning persists despite April CPI inflation accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its highest in 21 months—and senior deputy governor remarks on May 3 signaling a hawkish shift in forward guidance, with May inflation projected even higher amid oil price pressures. The wisdom of crowds reflects BoK's data-dependent stance and alignment with the Federal Reserve's recent pause, prioritizing gradualism over immediate action. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected May CPI print or robust GDP data prompting a hike, though decrease odds remain negligible at 0.4%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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