Recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have pushed Eurozone headline inflation above the ECB’s 2% target, with forecasts now averaging 2.6–2.7% for 2026. At its April 30 meeting the Governing Council held the deposit rate at 2.00% but adopted a data-dependent stance, leaving open the possibility of tightening. Hawkish remarks from officials including Isabel Schnabel and Fabio Panetta, combined with economist surveys projecting 25-basis-point increases in June and September, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one hike before year-end. The June 11 policy decision remains the next key catalyst that could confirm or alter this trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$114,285 KL.
$114,285 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$114,285 KL.
$114,285 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have pushed Eurozone headline inflation above the ECB’s 2% target, with forecasts now averaging 2.6–2.7% for 2026. At its April 30 meeting the Governing Council held the deposit rate at 2.00% but adopted a data-dependent stance, leaving open the possibility of tightening. Hawkish remarks from officials including Isabel Schnabel and Fabio Panetta, combined with economist surveys projecting 25-basis-point increases in June and September, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one hike before year-end. The June 11 policy decision remains the next key catalyst that could confirm or alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$114,285Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have pushed Eurozone headline inflation above the ECB’s 2% target, with forecasts now averaging 2.6–2.7% for 2026. At its April 30 meeting the Governing Council held the deposit rate at 2.00% but adopted a data-dependent stance, leaving open the possibility of tightening. Hawkish remarks from officials including Isabel Schnabel and Fabio Panetta, combined with economist surveys projecting 25-basis-point increases in June and September, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one hike before year-end. The June 11 policy decision remains the next key catalyst that could confirm or alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$114,285Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have pushed Eurozone headline inflation above the ECB’s 2% target, with forecasts now averaging 2.6–2.7% for 2026. At its April 30 meeting the Governing Council held the deposit rate at 2.00% but adopted a data-dependent stance, leaving open the possibility of tightening. Hawkish remarks from officials including Isabel Schnabel and Fabio Panetta, combined with economist surveys projecting 25-basis-point increases in June and September, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one hike before year-end. The June 11 policy decision remains the next key catalyst that could confirm or alter this trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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