Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,155 KL.
$61,155 KL.
May 16, 2026
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
90°F or higher 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,155 KL.
$61,155 KL.
May 16, 2026
86-87°F
$7,097 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$12,155 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,769 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,155Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$61,155Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp