Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 KL.
$38,783 KL.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 KL.
$38,783 KL.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
$2,268 KL.
No
31°C
$1,103 KL.
No
32°C
$5,164 KL.
No
33°C
$2,480 KL.
No
34°C
$2,760 KL.
No
35°C
$3,807 KL.
No
36°C
$4,143 KL.
No
37°C
$2,332 KL.
No
38°C
$2,318 KL.
No
39°C
$5,159 KL.
Yes
40°C or higher
$7,248 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,783Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$38,783Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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