**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on the night of August 28–29, positioning 54–55°F and 56–57°F as the leading market outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers expected through the period limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. Seattle’s marine-influenced climate, with Pacific moderation, typically produces August overnight lows averaging near 56°F; recent model runs show only modest cooling under the cloudy, moist regime. The NWS explicitly forecasts a Saturday night low around 53°F, while other guidance clusters in the lower-to-mid 50s, aligning closely with the 43.5% and 33.5% market-implied probabilities for those two bins. No major shifts in steering patterns or stronger high pressure have emerged to alter this outlook, though final model updates before midnight local time could refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
54-55°F 51%
56-57°F 50%
58-59°F 28%
47°F or below 16%
47°F or below
16%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
14%
54-55°F 51%
56-57°F 50%
58-59°F 28%
47°F or below 16%
47°F or below
16%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on the night of August 28–29, positioning 54–55°F and 56–57°F as the leading market outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers expected through the period limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. Seattle’s marine-influenced climate, with Pacific moderation, typically produces August overnight lows averaging near 56°F; recent model runs show only modest cooling under the cloudy, moist regime. The NWS explicitly forecasts a Saturday night low around 53°F, while other guidance clusters in the lower-to-mid 50s, aligning closely with the 43.5% and 33.5% market-implied probabilities for those two bins. No major shifts in steering patterns or stronger high pressure have emerged to alter this outlook, though final model updates before midnight local time could refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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